Friday, August 10, 2012

John Mauldin: Keep Your Capital Intact


To 321gold home page 

The Golden Age Is Here

http://www.321gold.com/editorials/thomson_s/thomson_s_080712.html 


 


The Truth about TARP
The free money for crooked bankers program
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47aHCpYaNkU&feature=player_embedded#! 
 


Conversations with Casey -
 LIVE part2 

Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Weimar Greece



 




 

Weimar Greece

The debt owed by Greece is in the neighbourhood of US $345 billion (reports vary). The likelihood of eventual repayment is very slim indeed.  The logical solution would be to allow a collapse. To be sure, both blood and red ink would flow, but, as a result, Greece would emerge sooner as a country of people who learned, painfully, that their only solution is to pick up their socks and begin to rebuild. But this will not happen. 




To 321gold home page 

Challenging the Paradigms of Investing



A strong dollar doesn't mean the end of the world for gold.

 
(Click on image to enlarge)

Reuters 

Euro Coal-Prices rally to $95/T, highest since April



 

Thursday, August 2, 2012

Planets Align for Stock Market Crash in 2013 ­− If Not Sooner


KING WORLD NEWS - BLOG 

This Chart From The 70s Gold Bull Market Will Shock People 
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/8/1_This_Chart_From_The_70s_Gold_Bull_Market_Will_Shock_People.html

Hathaway - We Are About To See $100+ Up Days In Gold 
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/7/29_Hathaway_-_We_Are_About_To_See_$100+_Up_Days_In_Gold.html 


               



  You cannot get the water to clear up until you get the pigs out of the creek. - Author unknown
The ECB is the only European institution that can conceivably bail out the PIIGS. It can do this only by debasing the euro. Inflation is the only option. There will be no fiscal union, except one that is imposed illegally. In any case, it cannot come before the end of the year. It is unlikely to come by the end of 2013. But the eurozone's banking system does not have until the end of the year. It must have a bailout now – one large enough to carry the banks and governments of Spain and Italy through the recession. 

  Planets Align for Stock Market Crash in 2013 ­− If Not Sooner


 

Argentina Begins to Implode

In Argentina, the situation continues to spiral out of control. The government there has effectively banned the conversion of Argentine pesos into U.S. dollars and has also instituted all-out capital controls to prevent the flight of all U.S. dollars still held in Argentina. As a result, the black market exchange rate for U.S. dollars is nearly 50% higher than the official exchange rate quoted by the government. Moreover, the Argentine government is so concerned about the flight of U.S. dollars that its citizens cannot exit the country without a blessing from the Argentine tax authority and a once-over by cash sniffing dogs.
Meanwhile, the real inflation rate is expected to top 30% in 2012, and promises by the Argentine government that they will not devalue the peso seem laughable to everyone but government officials. In an effort to prop up the peso, the Argentine government is forcing property owners and lenders to accept Argentine pesos in lieu of U.S. dollars. Fearful that all U.S. dollars left in the system may be confiscated, many Argentines are withdrawing whatever U.S. dollars they have and putting them in safety deposit boxes, leaving a shortage of available safety deposit boxes in Buenos Aires. Why Argentines believe their government will act with more restraint than the United Kingdom is unclear. (British Government Raids 7,000 Safety Deposit Boxes)
The Argentine boom/bust cycle is happening again, as it does nearly every decade. This time is no different, despite what Keynesian economists might say.
Thought of the Day
"No government ever voluntarily reduces itself in size.
Government programs, once launched, never disappear."

~ Ronald Reagan


China Daily Website 

Wednesday, August 1, 2012

China prepares vast stimulus as slump threatens Asia


 

Wall Street Legend Sandy Weill: Break Up Big Banks

 

Norway is one of the most heavily taxed countries in the world with a total tax burden of roughly 45% of GDP-- almost 4x Hong Kong and nearly twice the US.


Money and Markets 
Treasuries Shot Up ...
Then Came Tumbling Down!
 
Treasury bonds completed what is known to technicians as a "weekly outside reversal." That means Treasury bonds made a new, 
52-week high last Wednesday, but finished the week lower thanks to Friday's big decline. You can see this in the chart below. 
10 year Treasury Prices 








Tuesday, July 31, 2012

11 Signs That Time Is Quickly Running Out For The Global Financial System


      



(Click on image to enlarge)
In that period of falling prices, the CPI was only down 1-2%. If we take a look at Japan's monetary base, however, there was only one period where it actually contracted, and that was between 2005 and 2010. But the period that the deflationists like to talk about - 1989 going forward - Japan's monetary base expanded every year. Government spending expanded viscerally.


Silver: Supply and Demand



Ratings Chart 
U.K. Jun M4 money supply fell -1.6% m/m and -5.2% y/y, the biggest annual decline since the BOE began money supply data in 1983. 
For a second time this month, China's Ministry of Railways said it will increase spending on China's railroads and bridges this year after it announced plans to spend 470 billion yuan ($74 billion) on projects this year, 4.8% higher than a July 3 projection. 

 

Saturday, July 28, 2012

Your Bank Is Robbing You


Henry
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 YuenHenry
 YuenHenry
 YuenHenry
 YuenHenry
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Should You Save Your Money or Hide It Under The Mattress? A major problem is that Americans grew up without significant training in how to handle money.


                                                                                                    (Click on images to enlarge)

MercoPress - South Atlantic News Agency 

Cuba to end Soviet-style economy and will implement market friendly policies




 Gold Futures CoT 4
Bearish futures traders are a bullish omen. 



I do not believe that hyperinflation is inevitable. I think it is unlikely. I do think that a Great Default is inevitable. Governments will default when the workers who are paying into Social Security and Medicare finally figure out that (1) this is not in their self-interest and (2) they outnumber the geezers.
Central bankers are arrogant. They really do think they have the upper hand. They really do think fiat money creation by central planners (themselves) is more powerful than free market forces (investors). They really do believe that they can find a suitable middle/muddle road between deflationary collapse and hyperinflation. So, they will not pull out all the stops. They will not hyperinflate unless Congress compels this.
Paul Volcker is the model. He reversed the policies of the ill-equipped G. William Miller, who was persuaded to resign by Carter after only 18 months in office. Volcker stuck to his guns from the fall of 1979 until August 13, 1982. By then, the public had lost its fear of inflation. It had gone through back-to-back recessions.
Volcker saved the dollar and the bond market. He let the politicians pay the price: first Carter, then Reagan. Reagan weathered the storm because the economy had turned back up by 1984. He smashed Walter Mondale.
The leverage is much greater today. The leverage of the big banks is much greater. The public still trusts Bernanke and Draghi. The investors think the central banks can save the system from a catastrophe. I don't. But I think the central banks have their choice of catastrophes: deflation/depression vs. hyperinflation/depression. I think they will try to navigate a middle ground, but when push comes to shove, they will risk a controlled deflation, with selective bailouts for the largest banks.
The central banks are not there to save the governments, which come and go. They are there to save their clients: the largest banks. They know where their bread is buttered.
But if Congress ever nationalizes the FED, then hyperinflation is a real possibility.



 

David Rosenberg Points To One Indicator That's Showing No Sign Of A Housing Recovery




From Natural Resources to Currency Wars w/Rick Rule & Jim Rickards




Two King World News Blogs

The first is with Citi analyst Tom Fitzpatrick...and it's headlined "Special Friday Gold & Silver 'Chart Mania'". The second blog is with Peter Schiff...and it's entitled "Gold Just Broke Out & Is Now Off To The Races". Both of these are must reads.


 
  


 
Money and Markets