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In that period of falling prices, the CPI was only down 1-2%. If we take a look at Japan's monetary base, however, there was only one period where it actually contracted, and that was between 2005 and 2010. But the period that the deflationists like to talk about - 1989 going forward - Japan's monetary base expanded every year. Government spending expanded viscerally.
Silver: Supply and Demand
U.K. Jun M4 money supply fell -1.6% m/m and -5.2% y/y, the biggest annual decline since the BOE began money supply data in 1983.
For a second time this month, China's Ministry of Railways said it will increase spending on China's railroads and bridges this year after it announced plans to spend 470 billion yuan ($74 billion) on projects this year, 4.8% higher than a July 3 projection.




The leverage is much greater today. The leverage of the big banks is much greater. The public still trusts Bernanke and Draghi. The investors think the central banks can save the system from a catastrophe. I don't. But I think the central banks have their choice of catastrophes: deflation/depression vs. hyperinflation/depression. I think they will try to navigate a middle ground, but when push comes to shove, they will risk a controlled deflation, with selective bailouts for the largest banks.




